DFS Corner – December 10, 2018

4 min read

Here is a quick look at today’s slate:

AwayHomeTotalFavoriteSpread
WASIND216IND6.0
DETPHI219PHI10
NORBOS223.5BOS4.5
SACCHI226.5SAC2.0
CLEMIL220MIL13.0
UTAOKC218.5OKC5.0
ORLDAL211DAL4.0
MEMDEN198.5DEN2.0
LACPHO221LAC10.0
MINGSW229GSW10.0
MIALAL221LAL6.0

Initial Thoughts:

Well I had my post written up before noon today, and its now been destroyed and re-created.

Targets – Pricing/Positions are based on Fan Duel player pool.

PGPlayerFD Price
Terry Rozier4100 
Originally had Kyrie in this spot, and now that he has been ruled out, we will pivot to Rozier for 4100.
Russell Westbrook11200 
Triple Double Westbrook is coming off of B2B monster games.  The Matchup vs Utah will hopefully keep his ownership down as the perception is they are a defensive team.  I won’t argue against their defense but its their wing defense that is in the top of the league. The DVP data points at them being in the bottom 1/3rd vs PGs.  If I can get a 11k Westbrook at sub 20% ownership I’m going to do it.  I still really like Westbrook tonight but the value is at PG with Rozier/Sato.  If I play more than one lineup I will have exposure to Westbrook, if only one I have to chase the value.
SGBradley Beal8700 
With Wall out, Beal now becomes the premier SG play of the slate. 32% USG rate sans Wall.  The matchup isn’t great but if the Wizards compete tonight its behind Beal.
Kevin Durant10300 
The Wolves are 29th in DVP for SF’s.  Durant’s price has taken a slight dip and I like to take advantage of those lower price points.  SF is pretty ugly tonight so I have a feeling I will be going double premiums.
PFMarcus Morris5500 
Daniel Theis will garner a lot of attention tonight at 4400.  If you have the extra 1100 I think I am more confident in plugging in Morris here.  Morris gets the highest USG boost with Horford/Kyrie off the floor (5% for a total of 27% in 87 mins)/
Bam Adebayo6500 
The price increase should help with his ownership % but I still feel like he’s too cheap.  I also think FD needs to update his position but that’s a whole new topic.  As long as Whiteside is out I will keep playing Bam until he’s 7500+.
CWillie Cauley-Stein6900 
Bulls are terrible against bigs.  WCS is in a perfect spot to put up 40+ and should go overlooked tonight.


Honorable Mentions

PGPlayerFD Price
De’Aaron Fox7700 
This matchup reminds me of the Kings/Cavs matchup.  Bulls are attackable from all positions. Fox is in a great spot again to deliver.  I would hinder expectations a bit but I could see a 45 FD point game from Fox tonight.
SFJustice Winslow5400 
B2B huge games.  Gets a fast-past Lakers tonight.  Be aware though that Winslow seems to disappoint after he shows signs of finally figuring things out.  If J-Rich gets ruled out he gets a huge bump.
CKevon Looney4700 
Value priced and has been getting minutes.  I would make sure that Draymond is out before plugging in Looney.

Chump Charity

Don’t be fooled by the word ‘Chump’ these are value plays that you can slide into your lineup to help you relieve salary to pay up for some Studs.

PGTomas Satoransky4300 
Wall is out, Sato becomes a huge value play tonight.
SGLangston Galloway3500 
30+ minutes his last 2 games.  Bullock/Johnson are still Questionable.
SFKelly Oubre4900 
Cedi/Oubre are about as low as I’ll go at SF tonight.  I think going with Wilson Chandler is chasing.
CGortat/Boban3500/3900 
We won’t know before lock but part of me wants to just play Boban at center on FD.  If Gortat gets ruled out again you’ve got the best value on the slate or you just drop his score.

 

Final Thoughts:

This slate messed up my blog post in numerous ways.  I do apologize for a condensed version tonight.  My latest lineup construction started with value at PG and paying up at SF.  I will more than like play 2-3 lineups tonight so that I can have some Westbrook exposure too. Thanks for reading!

Good Luck!

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