Be careful about how you play the #Process game.
We open up a box of chocolates like Mr. Gump and we never know what we’ll get. What Forrest didn’t mention to us, is that all assorted chocolates in the box aren’t necessarily good. For dynasty leagues, you often don’t know what you’ll get for a few seasons. I always follow a win now strategy and love it when others want to employ the process, it gives me a distinct advantage. When you add an impatient process GM to the mix, it’s double trouble for them.
A Cautionary Tale
As Dynasty GMs we want to get our hands on the new deliciousness. Unfortunately, the chocolate wasn’t too kind for someones’ taste buds in our dynasty league. In the summer of 2016, Taurean Prince was drafted by a Process-Driven GM. Following a slow start, he prematurely dropped Prince onto the waiver wire. Now before you get upset at the GM that dropped him, let’s think about what happened here.
Like most NBA rookies, he started off slow. During his rookie season, he averaged 16 minutes a game shot 40% and averaged just 5 points a game. Atlanta wasn’t a tanking team then, led by the likes of Al Horford, Jeff Teague, Dennis Schroder, and a still elite Paul Milsap. It wasn’t until mid-February that he was even able to surpass 20 minutes in a game. This particular GM had a keen eye at the beginning from following his college career, but to him, it seemed like his NBA prospects weren’t as bright. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves.
This particular GM had a keen eye at the beginning from following his college career, but to him, it seemed like his NBA prospects weren’t as bright.
Prince is Progressing
Dennis Schroder is now gone along with his high usage rate and Atlanta gets young with Trae. Get it? (Bad joke). As an integral cog in the Atlanta youth movement, alongside Young and big man John Collins, he has every opportunity to thrive. Also note that under new Head Coach Lloyd Pierce, Atlanta is currently number one in pace this season, meaning more possessions to be had. Kevin and I break down Pace on episode 6 on Fantasy Unicorns podcast. Take a listen for deeper outlook.
In 2018, 5 games in, Prince is the 40th ranked player in Fantasy, driven by his 20.6 points, 3 3PM, and 94.7% FT on 3.8 attempts. Add in that he is improving across the board, and you have the formula for an exciting young player on the rise. It’s a small sample size, but any GM, Win-Now or Process focused, would love to roster Prince.
It’s a small sample size, but any GM, Win-Now or Process focused, would love to roster Prince.
Starks 3 year outlook
2018 Top 50
2019 Top 45
2020 Top 35
Even in dynasty leagues, it can be a challenge to stick to your guns and ride out a player’s progression. Most rookies don’t show out their first season, so that’s important to keep in mind when you go for the process approach. Sometimes when you are process-driven you leave yourself open to many blind spots. One of the biggest blind spots is patience. Do you groom a player that’s worth the time along with other players on your team?
I don’t play the process game, I play the winning game. I’ll leave it to the kids that want the toy out of their happy meal. Starks will enjoy giving the kids what they want with a smile and a handshake.
I’ll leave it to the kids that want the toy out of their happy meal.
The teaching lesson here is not to go full assorted chocolates. Leave that to your league mates. I want sure things. You tell them to #Trusttheprocess and let them believe its a good idea, while you get the healthy dose of proven players diet. It turns out, that even they don’t always trust the process. Win now, but also be ready to pounce when you see them grow impatient. One GM’s rookie trash can become your top 50 stud.
- Win Now
- Nod your head when others believe the Process approach is best
- Prey on the Impatient Process GM