DFS Corner – October 17th, 2018

9 min read

Who let the DFS guy participate on a Dynasty NBA blog?

Whether Dynasty and Season long truthers want to admit it, there is a lot of correlation between Daily Fantasy Sports and Season/Dynasty Leagues. The biggest tie ins that I have found are the temporary streamers and value plays.  If it weren’t for DFS I would have never known about guys like Tyrone Wallace, Caris Levert, or everyone’s favorite opportunity play Boban Marjanovic.  These guys aren’t going to be players that are going to ultimately win you you’re league but if given the opportunity they might be temporary pickups that can help you get a weekly win or 2 throughout the season.  Okay, I’m done trying to defend myself here, and am going to use the rest of my blog post to take a look at the opening day slate.  I will be using FanDuel positions for my breakdowns but will list the price on FD and DK.

Here is a quick look at today’s slate:

    • Grizzles @ Pacers (-6.5) O/U 207
    • Bucks (-2) @ Hornets O/U 217
    • Heat (-2.5) @ Magic O/U 210.5
    • Nets @ Pistons (-5) O/U 212
    • Hawks @ Knicks (-3.5) O/U 213.5
    • Cavs @ Raptors (-12) O/U 214
    • Pelicans @ Rockets (-7.5) O/U 228.5
    • Wolves @ Spurs (-3) O/U 210.5
    • Jazz (-8) @ Kings O/U 208
    • Mavs @ Suns (-1.5) O/U 215
    • Nuggets (-1) @ Clippers O/U 226

With today’s slate being rather large my breakdown’s today will be Cash/GPP/Value driven.  These will be core plays for lineups.

Cash Game Targets

When looking at cash game players I will be looking at guys that have high floors, whether it is matchup driven or price driven, these players will help you make that cash line in Double Ups and H2Hs.  Cash Game Targets can also be used in Gpp lineups to anchor down your core.

 

PG

 

PlayerFDDK
Trey Burke49005600
Trey’s FD price is low enough to qualify as Chump Charity but his end of the last season performance has me confident enough in him to lock him in as a cornerstone cash play tonight.  At 4900 Trey was able to hit value (5x) almost 45% of his games last year, keep in mind he only started the last 9 games of the season.  With already being confirmed as the starting PG he draws a matchup with the Hawks who gave up an average of 52 FD pts per game to Point Guards last year.  I really think it’s not out of the question to get 30+ fpts out of Burke tonight and for that I will use him in tournament builds as well.
Chris Paul91008900
CP3 comes in at the most expensive PG on tonight’s slate.  I have him down as a cash game target as tonight’s Pelicans/Rockets game comes in as a 228.5-point O/U.  This game is going to be fast and there are going to be a lot of Fantasy Points out there to be had so you will need to have exposure to this game.  There are other viable PG options tonight but if you have the salary I would recommend paying up for CP3.  If you are going to be cramming in Harden, Davis, or Giannis into your lineup then you may need to find some salary relief and CP3 will not be an option for you.  I would 100% recommend playing CP3 if Harden is not in your lineup.

SG

 

James Harden11,70011,500
Harden comes in as the top SG play of the night.  As I mentioned in my blurb on CP3 this game is going to be fast and high scoring.  Harden will be a big part of that scoring.  I have Harden down at a floor of 50 FD points tonight which is about 8.5 pts off of value.  I can understand targeting guys like Giannis/Davis over Harden tonight but as I stated before if you fade Harden you need to get exposure to CP3.
Luka Doncic67006700
I feel like FD made a mistake sliding Doncic into the SG spot but hey that means we can get an extra PG on our lineups tonight.  I’ll be the first to admit recommending a rookie in his first start on the road in cash games might be on the risky side but hey if you’re playing dfs you’re already taking a risk.  The matchup vs the Suns is about as good as it gets, the Mavs are going to play faster than they have previously, and Doncic is one of the most exciting rookies we’ve had since, well, last year. Put him in your lineup and if he flops you can just send me nasty dm’s to alleviate your frustration.

SF

Cedi Osman45004200
The Osman has been given the nod to start at SF for the Cavs tonight.  With that comes a lot of opportunity.  Osman has a unique skillset that will allow him to be moved around.  Look for Cedi to get well over 30 mins of run tonight and with his minutes being blowout proof I’m confident enough to plug him in as a value play tonight.

PF

LaMarcus Aldridge82007300
The Spurs matchup with the Wolves tonight.  In case you haven’t heard the Wolves are currently a mess. Add in the fact that the Spurs are limited by injuries and you have a sure-fire play in LMA.  The Wolves have struggled to stop LMA in the past and now with him being an extreme focal point on the offensive end I predict a big night coming for LMA.  Lock him in everywhere!
Anthony Davis1240011100
I’m not going to say that AD is a must have in cash but I will say if you can confidently find a way to get him in then you must do it.  We’ve been over this matchup twice already so you know why you have to have exposure.  If I’m fading Harden then I’m probably going with a pairing of Davis/CP3 to make up for it.

C

Hassan Whiteside69007300
Tonight’s slate is chalk full of great Center options.  If I want to fit in 2/3 studs I need to find some salary relief.  Whiteside provides a nice floor and doesn’t cost me 10k to get the Center stud that I need to anchor my lineups.  Another solid option is Enes Kanter but we all know its hard to trust him, also if the $$ is there you can play everyone’s new favorite big man Deandre Ayton at $7200.

 

 

 

GPP/Tournament Targets

Players that have high ceilings and are a little more on the risky side.

PG

Eric Bledsoe74007100
See comments for Kemba and Giannis about pace for Bledsoe notes.  Also, Bledsoe coming in at 7400 is a solid price especially for a guy who can wrack up the steals.
Kemba Walker83007600
Kemba at home and Kemba at Madison Square Garden, and also, the Hornets have picked up their pace, averaging 10 more possessions/game this preseason over last year’s total.  More possessions more shots for Kemba.

SG

Victor Oladipo88008000
I might as well write this one down in permanent ink.  Dipo is the type of player who is always in play for me.  50+ pt fantasy upside and is almost always sub 10k. Get him right and win $$$.
Jrue Holiday83007500
I’m actually getting annoyed with myself but….228.5….exposure……

SF

Kawhi Leonard96008200
Blow out potential as Kawhi looks to feast on a Lebron-less Cavs team.  FD he is an extreme GPP target but on DK I’m going to look at getting him in with a manageable 8200 cost.
Giannis 1200010900
Hornets are looking to play faster this year.  Giannis in an up-pace game is a beautiful thing.  Playing Giannis over AD/Harden is the gpp move to make.  God Speed.

PF

Nikola Mirotic66006300
Pelicans/Rockets check O/U, get exposure.  40-45-point upside at 6600, yes please.
Paul Millsap73006800
This is a risky one and is more of an ownership play.  With guys like Tobias and Gordon at the same price point (exactly more people are going to go elsewhere) and Millsap is a guy who can occasionally put up a 50 burger.  Clippers are going to struggle vs rebounders, firing up Millsap to get that exposure over stud Jokic is a leverage play.

C

Andre Drummond102009500
Pace up game for Drummond, and not to rely too much on last year’s stats but he was either feast or famine vs the Nets last year.  With a price over 10k I think you will find that he is under owned.
Deandre Ayton72006900
Ayton looks primed and ready to be the next big thing.  I like him as a cash option too.

 

Chump Charity

Don’t be fooled by the word ‘Chump’ these are value plays that you can slide into your lineup to help you relieve salary to pay up for some Studs.

PG

Frank Ntilikina38004800
Getting the start tonight vs a lowly Hawks team. Worth the shot at his price point.

SG

Rodney McGruder35003800
Starting for the Heat.  Had a solid preseason.  I’m playing him in Cash.

SF

Chandler Parsons35003800
Hasn’t played much in 3 years but is starting and should see around 20-24 mins tonight.  Parsons should be able to hit value and imo is a great punt.

PF

Montreszl Harrell38004500
Low key think that Harrell has a great season.  Gets it going tonight with a solid double-double.
Harry Giles39004800
This one is for our good friend Starks.

C

Willy Hernangomez40005200
Will split time with Cody Zeller at Center.  Has big time upside.

 

Final Thoughts:

For my initial build I went with a CP3/Davis pairing which let me also fit Aldridge and Ayton.  I finished it out with 2 Chump Charity plays, Burke and Doncic.  I will say I will probably fiddle with it a little bit but I do like the floor and upside that the lineup brought.  I think on FD I will stick with the 2-cheap play strategy but on DK I may fade the studs and try to go 2nd tier pricing to fill out my lineup.  Lots of great options out there tonight.  Best of luck and if you have any questions please feel free to leave a comment or reach out to me on Twitter @MrJesseJordan.

 

Leave a Reply